One million infected in 2 months, 10% sentenced to die; unless you are proactive

Interesting article, concerning, to say the least.

So, if it doubles every 6 days, fatality rate for those above 60 is 10%:
now, 1250
6th day 2,500
12th day 5,000
18th day 10,000
24th day 20,000
30th day 40,000
36th day 80,000
42nd day 160,000
48th day 320,000
54th day 620,000
60th day 1,240,000

If fatality rate is 10% for those above 60 years of age, so, if we don’t contain the transmission of pathogens there will be half one quarter of a million death in the next month, mostly above 60 years of age. The elderly are the target of this pandemic. 100,000 elderly will inevitably die if we do not take precautions in the next 60 days. It’s your responsibility as a citizen to protect the elderly.



But, when will Covid-19 be contained? When the population stays at home. Obvious, my dear Watson.

https://www.economist.com/united-states/2020/03/12/covid-19-is-spreading-rapidly-in-america-the-country-does-not-look-ready